An interesting pattern recurs across the career of great scientists: an annus mirabilis (miracle year) in which they make multiple, seemingly…
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On taking advantage of both extremes of risk and reward in friendship, caffeination, reading, dating, working, and more
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10x engineers, tech bubbles, and the PayPal mafia
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I worked for ten years with John Tukey at Bell Labs. He had tremendous drive. One day about three or four years after I joined, I discovered that John…
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Girard at Jamestown, VC bubbles, Elon’s ambition, big tech R&D as F1 cars, med-school mania, and the entrepreneurial middle class.
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Why there will be many more effective altruist billionaires
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An alternative to explosion, stagnation, and collapse
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In Part 1, I laid out the simmer scenario as an alternative to explosion, stagnation in collapse, in which growth slows down sufficiently to remain…
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Why volatility and youth are signals of potential
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"People dismiss intellectual market makers who get famous off the spread between an interesting study and a New York Times best selling book. But…
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"The problem with theories of history is that they are all correct"
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"The universal explainers hypothesis is incorrect because it cannot explain why some animals are smart and some humans are stupid."
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