Dwarkesh Podcast
Dwarkesh Podcast
Will scaling work? [Narration]
1×
0:00
-25:43

Will scaling work? [Narration]

Data bottlenecks, generalization benchmarks, primate evolution, intelligence as compression, world modelers, and other considerations
Dwarkesh Patel
Jan 19, 2024
Share
Transcript

No transcript...

This is a narration of my blog post, Will scaling work?.

You read the full post here: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/will-scaling-work

Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platform. Follow me on Twitter for updates on future posts and episodes.

Blog

Will scaling work?

Dwarkesh Patel
·
December 26, 2023
Will scaling work?

When should we expect AGI? If we can keep scaling LLMs++ (and get better and more general performance as a result), then there’s reason to expect powerful AIs by 2040 (or much sooner) which can automate most cognitive labor and speed up further AI progress. However, if scaling doesn’t work, then the path to AGI seems much longer and more intractable, fo…

Read full story
0 Comments
Dwarkesh Podcast
Dwarkesh Podcast
Deeply researched interviews
https://link.chtbl.com/dwarkesh
Listen on
Substack App
Spotify
RSS Feed
Appears in episode
Dwarkesh Patel
Recent Episodes
Mark Zuckerberg - Llama 3, Open Sourcing $10b Models, & Caesar Augustus
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken - How to Build & Understand GPT-7's Mind
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Demis Hassabis - Scaling, Superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, Rogue Nations Threat
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Patrick Collison (Stripe CEO) - Craft, Beauty, & The Future of Payments
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Tyler Cowen - Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, Animal Spirits, Anarchy, & Growth
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro [Narration]
 • Dwarkesh Patel
Jung Chang - Living through Cultural Revolution and the Crimes of Mao
 • Dwarkesh Patel