Jan 10 • 1HR 4M

20: Samo Burja - Founders, Markets, & Collapse

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Host Dwarkesh Patel interviews economists, scientists, and philosophers about their big ideas. Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DwarkeshPatel
Episode details

Samo Burja is the founder of Bismarck Analysis and a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation. Samo writes and speaks about history, institutions, and strategy, and he is the creator of the Great Founder Theory of history.

Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/q_X13jNOQTk

Samo's Twitter: https://twitter.com/SamoBurja

Subscribe to Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/

My twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp

My blog: https://dwarkeshpatel.com/


0:00:00 Intro

0:00:17 Are individuals causally responsible for history?

0:04:34 Was Napoleon a great founder?

0:08:47 What can great founder theory predict?

0:11:17 How many live players are there?

0:15:40 Is the market full of live players?

0:18:37 How to cozy up to both sides?

0:22:58 How do you become an intellectual?

0:27:34 Aligning incentives for intellectuals

0:30:40 What makes someone a great founder?

0:39:29 Why is the centralized internet inevitable?

0:42:21 Samo and I debate odds of civilizational collapse

0:48:17 Is GDP fake?

0:56:52 The world only has 1.5 civilizations

0:59:32 Advice to effective altruists

1:02:30 Advice to young people