Samo Burja is the founder of Bismarck Analysis and a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation. Samo writes and speaks about history, institutions, and strategy, and he is the creator of the Great Founder Theory of history.
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Samo's Twitter: https://twitter.com/SamoBurja
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Timestamps:
0:00:00 Intro
0:00:17 Are individuals causally responsible for history?
0:04:34 Was Napoleon a great founder?
0:08:47 What can great founder theory predict?
0:11:17 How many live players are there?
0:15:40 Is the market full of live players?
0:18:37 How to cozy up to both sides?
0:22:58 How do you become an intellectual?
0:27:34 Aligning incentives for intellectuals
0:30:40 What makes someone a great founder?
0:39:29 Why is the centralized internet inevitable?
0:42:21 Samo and I debate odds of civilizational collapse
0:48:17 Is GDP fake?
0:56:52 The world only has 1.5 civilizations
0:59:32 Advice to effective altruists
1:02:30 Advice to young people