Oct 5, 2021 • 1HR 12M

18: Byrne Hobart - Optionality, Stagnation, and Secret Societies

Dwarkesh Patel
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Host Dwarkesh Patel interviews economists, scientists, and philosophers about their big ideas. Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DwarkeshPatel
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Byrne Hobart writes The Diff, a newsletter about inflections in finance and technology with 24,000+ subscribers.  

The Diff newsletter: https://diff.substack.com/

Byrne's Twitter: https://twitter.com/byrnehobart 

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Watch episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/ZI_tDsOhd5I

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp 

Timestamps: 

0:00:00 Byrne's one big idea: stagnation 

0:05:50 Has regulation caused stagnation? 

0:14:00 FDA retribution 

0:15:15 Embryo selection 

0:17:32 Patient longtermism 

0:21:02 Are there secret societies? 

0:26:53 College, optionality, and conformity

0:34:40 Differentiated credentiations underrated? 

0:39:15 WIll contientiousness increase in value? 

0:44:26 Why aren't rationalists more into finance? 

0:48:04 Rationalists are bad at changing the world. 

0:52:20 Why read more? 

0:57:10 Does knowledge have increasing returns? 

1:01:30 How to escape the middle career trap? 

1:04:48 Advice for young people 

1:08:40 How to learn about a subject?